Why is Donald Trump doing so well in the
current presidential polling? In spite of being loud-mouthed, brash and
ridiculous, as of July 21, 2015 he was the leading contender among Republican
voters by an average of 18% vs. 13% for the second place contender: Jeb Bush. A
bit of background is in order.
The Republican Party has been running on
certain dislikes, tacitly in some cases, for many years. Here are a few:
President Obama - The single most important thing we want to achieve is for President Obama
to be a one-term president. (Mitch McConnell – October 23, 2010).
Affordable Health Care - While repeal and replace plans such as this (ACA) are our
ultimate goal, it will require a Republican White House and Congress to become
law. In the meantime, Republicans should continue to work to repeal parts of
the health care law at every available opportunity. (Orrin Hatch – July 22,
2015).
The Poor – Evidenced by
supporting Voter ID acts.
Mexicans – No road to
citizenship for illegal immigrants, but no specific plans for discovering and
deporting the 11M already here.
Gays - "The
Supreme Court undercut the equal protection of every person who voted for their
representative.... Now we have an effective oligarchy of five who decide the
most fundamental issues of today." – (Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn). No
mention of equal protection for gays.
Climate Change – John Boehner: “I’m not
qualified to debate the science over climate change.” He apparently thinks he
is qualified to discuss the economy, even though he is not an economist.
There are others, of course, but these will
suffice.
Although supporting these and other far
right “dislikes,” the Republican hierarchy has realized that the party cannot
survive on these beliefs alone. They have reacted by nominating presidential
candidates aligned somewhat more toward the political center: John McCain in
2008, and Mitt Romney in 2012. In an attempt to mollify their staunch conservative
members, they have tossed a few bones in the form of vice-presidential nominees
Sarah Palin and Paul Ryan.
Along comes the Donald. By going up against
the establishment, he is tapping in to the far right base, and so far has been
successful. He has become their voice. It is not that they love him so much –
he is just giving vent to their grievances against the Republican National
Committee.
Although he has no chance of getting the
Republican nomination for the 2016 election, if the RNC snubs him, he just
might run as a third party candidate. He is ambitious enough and rich enough to
make a good showing.
The Democrats would love it.
My books, “There Are Only Seven Jokes” and “The Spirit Runs Through
It” are available in paperback
or Kindle at Amazon.
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